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With less than two weeks until the 2024 US Presidential Election, Kamala Harris (Democrat) and Donald Trump (Republican) are tied in several polls, with only narrow leads on either side. Despite Trump closing the gap, his former Chief of Staff, John Kelly, warned the press that Trump fits the definition of a fascist and had once openly praised Hitler’s leadership.

Jared Monschein, Director of Research at the United States Studies Centre gives his perspective exploring whether polling predictions can be trusted and unpredictability of the voter turnout.

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